Comments on: China’s growth: still real http://blog.rivertwice.com/2010/01/23/chinas-growth-still-real/ River Twice Research - Commentary Thu, 29 Jul 2010 17:28:46 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.5.1 By: jan z. volens http://blog.rivertwice.com/2010/01/23/chinas-growth-still-real/#comment-497 jan z. volens Sun, 16 May 2010 06:35:24 +0000 http://blog.rivertwice.com/?p=60#comment-497 The "demographic time bomb" - AGING - is said to be looming in the distance of the United States and of Europe: We already know their solution - immigration. China is said to face the same future problem of an aging population - and yes, you guessed it - if necessary the Chinese will also solve it with immigration. It is already rising faintly on the news horizon: "Border police arrested illegal immigrants at the bus station" - no - it's not from a newspaper in Arizona/USA but recently in "China Daily": Chinese farmers in the south claim that they suffer from a shortage of farm labor - but they don't emphasize that the Vietnamese work for lower wages on farms in southern China. Middle-aged professional bachelors can't find suitable lady for marriage in Shanghai - but there is the "service" that organizes tours to Vietnam for suitable "introductions" - in fact it appears a well-organized "Asiatic marriage network" is active also to find suitable female mates for Chinese in Taiwan. In South Korea - the lone farmers have already attracted many wives from Vietnam. --- A recent discussion among Chinese readers in "China Daily" around the question "Who is Han?" - sounded exactly like many U.S. Americans, Canadians or Brazilians who reveal their multiple-ethnic background. The impression relayed the concept that "Han" is primarily a "cultural" background - but that "Han" are aware of their ancestry also may including Koreans, Mongolians, Persians, Arabs and other ethnic origins: This also reveals a potentially positive asset towards an "elastic" solution in case of need for immigration to balance excess demographic aging. The “demographic time bomb” - AGING - is said to be looming in the distance of the United States and of Europe: We already know their solution - immigration. China is said to face the same future problem of an aging population - and yes, you guessed it - if necessary the Chinese will also solve it with immigration. It is already rising faintly on the news horizon: “Border police arrested illegal immigrants at the bus station” - no - it’s not from a newspaper in Arizona/USA but recently in “China Daily”: Chinese farmers in the south claim that they suffer from a shortage of farm labor - but they don’t emphasize that the Vietnamese work for lower wages on farms in southern China. Middle-aged professional bachelors can’t find suitable lady for marriage in Shanghai - but there is the “service” that organizes tours to Vietnam for suitable “introductions” - in fact it appears a well-organized “Asiatic marriage network” is active also to find suitable female mates for Chinese in Taiwan. In South Korea - the lone farmers have already attracted many wives from Vietnam. — A recent discussion among Chinese readers in “China Daily” around the question “Who is Han?” - sounded exactly like many U.S. Americans, Canadians or Brazilians who reveal their multiple-ethnic background. The impression relayed the concept that “Han” is primarily a “cultural” background - but that “Han” are aware of their ancestry also may including Koreans, Mongolians, Persians, Arabs and other ethnic origins: This also reveals a potentially positive asset towards an “elastic” solution in case of need for immigration to balance excess demographic aging.

]]> By: jan z. volens http://blog.rivertwice.com/2010/01/23/chinas-growth-still-real/#comment-425 jan z. volens Fri, 05 Mar 2010 05:51:43 +0000 http://blog.rivertwice.com/?p=60#comment-425 The "Deng" era started in 1978. It ended in 2009. Mark 2010 as the beginning of the "Pie" era: Rational enhanced national social income distribution. China's leadership understand the necessity as a matter of national security. The time may be approaching , a few years into the future, when the leadership in the USA may have to contemplate a similar solution. (But don't hold your breath yet!) The “Deng” era started in 1978. It ended in 2009. Mark 2010 as the beginning of the “Pie” era: Rational enhanced national social income distribution. China’s leadership understand the necessity as a matter of national security. The time may be approaching , a few years into the future, when the leadership in the USA may have to contemplate a similar solution. (But don’t hold your breath yet!)

]]> By: China First Capital http://blog.rivertwice.com/2010/01/23/chinas-growth-still-real/#comment-403 China First Capital Wed, 10 Feb 2010 01:22:34 +0000 http://blog.rivertwice.com/?p=60#comment-403 Cannot agree more, the audacity with which China has tackled its past challenges points to the possibilities in its future. ceo@chinafirstcapital.com Cannot agree more, the audacity with which China has tackled its past challenges points to the possibilities in its future.

ceo@chinafirstcapital.com

]]> By: ron http://blog.rivertwice.com/2010/01/23/chinas-growth-still-real/#comment-402 ron Tue, 09 Feb 2010 02:08:47 +0000 http://blog.rivertwice.com/?p=60#comment-402 China had broken free from Western encroachment of China's cultural systems quite a while back. After the Western ideology of communism failed to work as China had hoped, the open reforms in China gave way to previously suppressed cultures inside of China. One culture being the old manchu/mongol system of administrative compartmentalization of the masses to follow and pay respects to the overbearing authority, the ccp dynasty in this case. Ever since the reforms the growth in the "Tartar"-styled system has been quite strong, however the Han system and Han culture has also made quite a come back. After the 6/4/89 fiasco the CCP resorted to becoming a promoter of Han culture and oddly enough an obscure patron of Han nationalism. There is now a whole new generation in China that have limited or superficial recollection of the Tienanmen massacre. So for now the culture of China appears to be dictated by the Manchu/Mongol styled bureaucracy competing with a somewhat revitalized Han culture rather than Western culture. China had broken free from Western encroachment of China’s cultural systems quite a while back. After the Western ideology of communism failed to work as China had hoped, the open reforms in China gave way to previously suppressed cultures inside of China. One culture being the old manchu/mongol system of administrative compartmentalization of the masses to follow and pay respects to the overbearing authority, the ccp dynasty in this case. Ever since the reforms the growth in the “Tartar”-styled system has been quite strong, however the Han system and Han culture has also made quite a come back. After the 6/4/89 fiasco the CCP resorted to becoming a promoter of Han culture and oddly enough an obscure patron of Han nationalism. There is now a whole new generation in China that have limited or superficial recollection of the Tienanmen massacre. So for now the culture of China appears to be dictated by the Manchu/Mongol styled bureaucracy competing with a somewhat revitalized Han culture rather than Western culture.

]]> By: jan z. volens http://blog.rivertwice.com/2010/01/23/chinas-growth-still-real/#comment-393 jan z. volens Sat, 30 Jan 2010 08:31:27 +0000 http://blog.rivertwice.com/?p=60#comment-393 Victor Chu was interviewed on BBC today and his opinions seem similar to those expressed by you in that above essay! Victor Chu was interviewed on BBC today and his opinions seem similar to those expressed by you in that above essay!

]]> By: jan z. volens http://blog.rivertwice.com/2010/01/23/chinas-growth-still-real/#comment-392 jan z. volens Fri, 29 Jan 2010 18:14:35 +0000 http://blog.rivertwice.com/?p=60#comment-392 The economic evolution of China is now of hypnotic interest to the economic and financial media around the globe, because it coincides with fundamental structural crises' in the USA and Europe, as well as the emergence of new poles of economic evolution in Asia and South America. Coincidentally China is also in a process of rapid evolution towards a flexible, but China-made ideology, combined with improved administrative structures and procedures. New provisions for medical insurance and retirement pensions are either in their embryonic stage or in early formative stages. China now faces a major challenge for its cultural orientation - will China's cultural heritage be "debunked" as "old fashioned" and "feudal" and replaced by Anglo-American "pop entertainment" that disorientates the young with dead-end frivolity and distracts the new generation from "building China" on a higher level of artistic sensitivity then that of the dominant, omnipresent Anglo-American global community ? The "Google" campaign looks to this observer to be just one of countless not-so-unpremeditated operations to influence the development of China's younger generation. Those of us, who have witnessed the destructive impact of Anglo-American "pop entertainment" in continental Europe and Latin America - can only caution the people of Asia and of China: Do your own thinking - because "opium" in the 21st century may be coming through the computer! The economic evolution of China is now of hypnotic interest to the economic and financial media around the globe, because it coincides with fundamental structural crises’ in the USA and Europe, as well as the emergence of new poles of economic evolution in Asia and South America. Coincidentally China is also in a process of rapid evolution towards a flexible, but China-made ideology, combined with improved administrative structures and procedures. New provisions for medical insurance and retirement pensions are either in their embryonic stage or in early formative stages. China now faces a major challenge for its cultural orientation - will China’s cultural heritage be “debunked” as “old fashioned” and “feudal” and replaced by Anglo-American “pop entertainment” that disorientates the young with dead-end frivolity and distracts the new generation from “building China” on a higher level of artistic sensitivity then that of the dominant, omnipresent Anglo-American global community ? The “Google” campaign looks to this observer to be just one of countless not-so-unpremeditated operations to influence the development of China’s younger generation. Those of us, who have witnessed the destructive impact of Anglo-American “pop entertainment” in continental Europe and Latin America - can only caution the people of Asia and of China: Do your own thinking - because “opium” in the 21st century may be coming through the computer!

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